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Retirement Drawdown Depletion Scenario

Model how a balance changes when you take a fixed monthly withdrawal under a constant return assumption. Enter a starting balance, monthly withdrawal, annual return assumption, and period. The result is a mechanical scenario, not a prediction of how long savings will last.

Model a withdrawal scenario

Enter assumptions to calculate the monthly balance path.

Returns and withdrawals are assumptions you supply, not forecasts or recommendations. No investment or retirement advice is provided.

Formula, inputs, and source

Formula
Monthly effective rate = (1 + effective annual return)1/12 − 1. Each month: amount before withdrawal = prior balance × (1 + monthly rate); withdrawal paid = the lesser of the scheduled withdrawal and that amount; next balance = amount before withdrawal − withdrawal paid.
Inputs and units
Starting and monthly amounts in the currency selected; effective annual return as a percentage; whole-year period from 1 to 100 years.
Output and limits
Balance after each modeled year, total withdrawals, any shortfall in the month the balance is depleted, and the remaining balance at the end of the period. Assumes monthly compounding before an end-of-month withdrawal, a fixed withdrawal, and one constant return. Excludes taxes, fees, inflation, changing spending, pensions, Social Security, market variability, sequence of returns, and account rules.
Source and version
FINRA, Retirement Calculator (accessed 2026-11-03), describes a calculator that includes both accumulation and decumulation. This page is a narrower fixed-input scenario model. Reviewed 2026-11-03.

What does a retirement drawdown calculator show?

A drawdown scenario shows how a starting balance changes as withdrawals are taken over time under stated assumptions. This calculator applies one fixed monthly withdrawal and one constant effective annual return that you enter. It reports a modeled balance path, and if the balance runs out, the unpaid portion of that month’s scheduled withdrawal.

The calculation is intentionally narrow. It does not estimate a safe withdrawal amount, decide when you can retire, or predict an individual’s lifespan or investment returns. FINRA’s retirement calculator is a separate tool that includes accumulation and decumulation and models savings needed to fund withdrawals over a selected period. The simple scenario on this page does not reproduce FINRA’s tax, savings, or income features. Source: FINRA Retirement Calculator, accessed 2026-11-03.

How is the monthly balance calculated?

The annual return is treated as an effective annual rate. It is converted to a monthly rate that compounds to the same annual rate: (1 + annual rate)1/12 − 1. For each month, the calculator applies that monthly rate to the opening balance, then subtracts the scheduled withdrawal. This ordering represents a withdrawal at month-end. No deposit or other cash flow is modeled.

For example, with a zero return, a $120,000 starting balance and a $1,000 monthly withdrawal lasts 120 modeled months, or 10 years. That arithmetic example assumes every scheduled withdrawal is paid at month-end and excludes all other changes. It is not a recommendation for a withdrawal amount.

What happens when the balance is depleted?

If the balance after the month’s assumed growth is smaller than the scheduled withdrawal, the model pays only the available amount, sets the next balance to zero, records the unpaid remainder as a shortfall, and stops. The depletion month is therefore the first month when the entered schedule cannot be fully met under the formula. If no shortfall occurs, the remaining period continues and the result shows the ending balance.

A smooth assumed return can hide the effects of real market variation. Actual returns can vary from month to month, and the order of gains and losses can affect a portfolio from which withdrawals are being made. Inflation can also change what a fixed dollar withdrawal buys. This page has no historical return data, probabilistic simulation, inflation adjustment, income sources, investment allocation, taxes, or fees.

Use the output only to inspect the assumptions you entered. Compare multiple scenarios by changing one input at a time, and consult current account statements and qualified financial or tax professionals for decisions involving your circumstances. This educational calculator is not financial advice.

Frequently asked questions

Does the result predict how long my savings will last?

No. It is a deterministic calculation with a fixed monthly withdrawal and constant return assumption. It does not predict actual returns, inflation, lifespan, or future spending.

Is the entered annual return guaranteed?

No. It is an assumption supplied by the user. Actual investment returns may be different and can vary over time.

When is each monthly withdrawal taken?

The model applies one month of assumed growth first and subtracts the withdrawal at month-end. Different timing would produce a different path.

Does this calculate a safe withdrawal rate?

No. It accepts a fixed monthly amount and shows the arithmetic path under the entered assumptions. It does not test historical sequences or determine a suitable withdrawal.

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Formula and attribution

Last updated:

Convert user-entered effective annual return r to effective monthly rate (1+r)^(1/12)-1. Each month: pre-withdrawal balance = prior balance × (1+monthly rate); paid withdrawal = min(scheduled fixed withdrawal, pre-withdrawal balance); next balance = pre-withdrawal balance - paid withdrawal. Stop when a monthly shortfall first occurs.

Output (selected currency and months): Modeled annual balances, total withdrawals, remaining balance, or the first month-end shortfall and its amount. Excludes taxes, fees, inflation, irregular returns, other income, and account rules.